Exploring Health Insurance Trends in Germany
A study on health insurance impacts on chronic diseases in Germany.
― 5 min read
Table of Contents
The German National Cohort (NAKO) is a large health study involving over 205,000 participants. It aims to look at the causes and factors that affect common diseases like cancer, diabetes, and heart conditions. The study will help in finding new ways to prevent these diseases and improve treatment. Along with gathering health data, the NAKO plans to build a strong framework for public health research in Germany.
Health Insurance in Germany
Since 2009, everyone in Germany must have health insurance. People can choose between statutory health insurance (SHI) and private health insurance (PHI). Most employees and pensioners with lower incomes must go with SHI, while those with higher incomes can opt for PHI. Self-employed individuals can choose either insurance type. Certain workers, like police and civil servants, have to use PHI.
About 85% of people have SHI, while around 11% use PHI. These two systems can create differences in healthcare access and quality. Studies show that those with PHI generally have better health and earn more than those with SHI, making health insurance status important for public health research.
Differences Between SHI and PHI
Research shows that people with SHI experience different health and care levels compared to those with PHI. Most studies have focused on SHI, often leaving out the smaller number of people with PHI. This gap means that many findings might not represent the whole population. The NAKO provides a chance to look at health differences between these two groups in a significant and detailed way.
Consent and Data Collection
To use health insurance data in the NAKO study, participants must give informed consent, which remains valid for five years at a time. During this process, basic insurance information is collected. Since 2017, participants have also been asked directly about their health insurance status, which increased the number of unknown cases due to the timing of the questions within the survey.
At the beginning of the study, a lot of people didn’t have their health insurance status recorded. This is important for analyzing the health situation correctly. Therefore, researchers aim to find out about the health insurance status of those who didn’t provide this information.
Purpose of the Study
The main goal of this study was to predict the health insurance status of participants using their socio-demographic information. Researchers wanted to see which characteristics, like age, income, and education, could help in identifying whether someone is likely to be insured by SHI or PHI.
Recruitment of Participants
Between 2014 and 2019, the NAKO recruited people aged 20 to 69 at 18 locations across Germany. A mix of age and gender was used to ensure a good representation of the population. Participants had to be able to speak German and agree to take part in the study. The initial response rate was about 18%.
Data Analysis and Methodology
The researchers used various methods to analyze the data. They grouped participants into different categories based on health insurance status. They then looked at a range of factors, like income and education, to see how these might predict whether someone has SHI or PHI.
The study involved two main steps. First, they built two models to predict SHI and PHI membership. Second, they tested these models with a separate part of the data to see how well they worked.
Key Findings from the Predictions
The results showed that certain socio-demographic factors are good indicators of a person's health insurance status. Important predictors included employment status and household income, reflecting the fact that PHI tends to cover individuals with higher incomes.
The predictive models showed strong performance. They could distinguish between people with SHI and PHI accurately. This means that the socio-demographic information gathered can be used to effectively fill in missing health insurance details for many participants.
Strengths and Limitations of the Study
One strength of this analysis is the large number of participants, which enhances the reliability of the results. The study also followed strict protocols in collecting data, ensuring quality. However, there are limitations, such as the lack of testing the models in other populations, which means the findings may not apply everywhere. Additionally, not all relevant factors could be included, like migration background or overall health status.
Future Research Directions
The findings suggest that socio-demographic information works well to guess health insurance status. However, before applying these models in other studies, further testing is advised. Future research could look into how well these models compare with other methods for handling missing data.
Conclusion
The German National Cohort is a significant health study that aims to shed light on the factors affecting chronic diseases in the population. By looking at the differences in health insurance coverage and using socio-demographic information, researchers can better understand the health landscape in Germany. The ability to predict health insurance status using demographic data opens up new paths for improving research and health outcomes in the future.
Title: Development and Internal Validation of Models Predicting the Health Insurance Status of Participants in the German National Cohort
Abstract: BackgroundIn Germany, all citizens must purchase health insurance, in either statutory (SHI) or private health insurance (PHI). Because of the division into SHI and PHI, person insurances status is an important variable for studies in the context of public health research. In the German National Cohort (NAKO), the variable on self-reported health insurance status of the participants has a high proportion of missing values (55.4%). The aim of our study was to develop and internally validate models to predict the health insurance status of NAKO baseline survey participants in order to replace missing values. In this respect, our research interest was focused on the question to which extent socio-demographic characteristics are suitable for predicting health insurance status. MethodsWe developed two prediction models including 53,796 participants to estimate the probability that a participant is either member of a SHI (model 1) or PHI (model 2). We identified eight predictors by literature research: occupation, income, education, sex, age, employment status, residential area, and marital status. The predictive performance was determined in the internal validation considering discrimination and calibration. Discrimination was assessed based on the Area Under the Curve (AUC) and the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration was assessed based on the calibration slope and calibration plot. ResultsIn model 1, the AUC was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.91-0.92) and the calibration slope was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.97-0.97). Model 2 had an AUC of 0.91 (95% CI: 0.90-0.91) and a calibration slope of 0.97 (95% CI: 0.97-0.97). Based on the calculated performance parameters both models turned out to show an almost ideal discrimination and calibration. Employment status and household income and to a lesser extent educational level, age, sex, marital status, and residential area are suitable for predicting health insurance status. ConclusionsSocio-demographic characteristics especially employment status and household income assessed at NAKOs baseline were suitable for predicting the statutory and private health insurance status. However, before applying the prediction models in other studies, an external validation in population-based studies is recommended.
Authors: Christoph Stallmann, I. Hrudey, E. Swart, H. Baurecht, H. Becher, A. Damms-Machado, W. Hoffmann, K.-H. Jöckel, N. Kartschmit, V. Katzke, T. Keil, B. Kollhorst, M. Leitzmann, C. Meinke-Franze, K. B. Michels, R. Mikolajczyk, T. Niedermaier, I. Pigeot, S. Schipf, B. Schmidt, B. Walter, S. Willich, R. Wolff
Last Update: 2024-04-12 00:00:00
Language: English
Source URL: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.04.09.24305544
Source PDF: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.04.09.24305544.full.pdf
Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Changes: This summary was created with assistance from AI and may have inaccuracies. For accurate information, please refer to the original source documents linked here.
Thank you to medrxiv for use of its open access interoperability.