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Air Pollution and COVID-19: New Insights

Study examines the link between PM2.5 exposure and COVID-19 severity.

― 6 min read


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Fine particles in the air, known as PM2.5, are tiny bits of pollution that can enter our lungs and affect our health. Recent studies suggest that these particles might play a role in making people more vulnerable to COVID-19. When we breathe in PM2.5, it could lead to an increase in ACE2, a receptor that the COVID-19 virus uses to enter our cells. This means that being exposed to PM2.5 may worsen the effects of COVID-19 on our heart and lungs.

While many findings on this topic come from looking at constant air pollution, there isn’t much direct evidence of how sudden pollution events, like a coalmine fire, could increase the risk of COVID-19 over time. Some evidence suggests that people who smoke might have more ACE2, which relates to vulnerability to the virus. In places like Mexico City, air pollution measurements have been linked to COVID-19 deaths, even when controlling for pollution levels in the previous year.

Interestingly, it seems that PM2.5 from wildfires might be more dangerous than regular urban pollution. Short bursts of pollution from fires may cause long-lasting issues for people’s health. Several studies have already linked pollution from wildfires to more COVID-19 cases, although these findings often look at events happening at the same time. For instance, in New South Wales, Australia, areas that had more wildfire smoke during a specific fire season reported higher COVID-19 rates later on.

The Hazelwood Coalmine Fire

This discussion leads us to look at the Hazelwood coalmine fire that took place in early 2014 in southeastern Australia. The fire lasted for about six weeks and covered the nearby town of Morwell in smoke and ash. To study the long-term effects of this event, researchers surveyed people who lived in the area after the fire. The main question was whether exposure to PM2.5 from the coalmine fire raised the risk of COVID-19 infections and their severity.

Who Was Included in the Study?

The researchers focused on a group of 4,056 adults who lived in either Morwell or nearby Sale during the coalmine fire. Morwell was heavily affected, while Sale saw minimal pollution. From this group, they identified 2,385 people who were eligible to participate in the follow-up survey.

How Was the Data Collected?

The recruitment for the survey started in August 2022 and ended in December 2022. Participants were invited through emails or text messages and were sent several reminders. Information was gathered using specialized online platforms designed to collect health and lifestyle information.

To find out about COVID-19 infections, participants answered a standard questionnaire. Those who might not have been diagnosed were asked about COVID-related symptoms over recent years. Researchers used this information to estimate possible infections.

In addition, PM2.5 levels from the coalmine fire were calculated using a weather and pollution spread model. The researchers looked at individual exposure to PM2.5 by combining the concentration of particles with diaries the participants kept about their locations during the fire.

Various health and demographic factors were considered, including age, sex, body mass index (BMI), the presence of chronic lung disease, and vaccination status. The researchers also looked at education levels and tobacco use, as these factors could affect the results.

Analyzing the Results

The researchers wanted to ensure their findings were reliable, so they tested for any biases in who participated in the study. They summarized the characteristics of those who took part based on whether they reported having COVID-19.

To analyze the relationship between PM2.5 exposure and COVID-19 outcomes, they used statistical models. This helped them understand if PM2.5 levels from the coalmine fire had any effect on the likelihood of getting COVID-19 or the severity of the illness.

The PM2.5 exposure was measured as a standard change so that comparisons were easy to interpret. The researchers accounted for different factors like age, socioeconomic status, and smoking history, ensuring their analysis was thorough.

Challenges in the Study

Of the 2,385 people invited, only 612 completed the survey, which is about 26%. Those who participated usually had better general health and higher education levels compared to non-participants. There were also some difficulties in linking self-reported COVID-19 cases with the symptoms described in the survey, as the criteria used were based on older information. Additionally, not everyone provided complete data, particularly regarding height and weight.

Findings on PM2.5 and COVID-19

The results of the study showed that higher levels of PM2.5 from the coalmine fire were associated with more COVID-19 infections, although the results were not statistically significant. This means there was no clear evidence proving that PM2.5 exposure led to higher COVID-19 risk. However, the researchers believe it’s important to view these results with caution, as they still suggest a possible connection.

The study indicated that while there were positive findings across multiple models, the effects were smaller than in other studies where ambient PM2.5 levels were examined. This might be due to the specific nature of this pollution event compared to constant air pollution.

Another point of concern was the time gap between the coalmine fire and the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Six years is a long time, and it raises questions about whether the initial exposure could still be influential. Some studies suggest that people can experience health recovery over time, which complicates the understanding of PM2.5 effects.

Policy Considerations

Given the mixed results, it can be challenging to draw definite policy conclusions. However, it seems wise to treat the association between PM2.5 and COVID-19 outcomes as real until further studies can clarify it. There is increasing evidence that air pollution can raise the risk of COVID-19 infection and severity. Even if specific events like the Hazelwood fire do not contribute to long-term vulnerability, minimizing short-term exposure remains essential for public health.

Reducing PM2.5 levels has numerous health benefits, including potentially lowering the risks related to COVID-19. The long-term effects of COVID-19 are still being studied, but it is believed that the virus can lead to lasting health issues. Hence, preventing infections, even in the same person, can reduce the overall burden on families and the healthcare system.

Limitations and Strengths of the Study

This study faced several limitations. Only a small percentage of participants completed the survey, leading to possible biases in the findings. The symptom checklist used to identify undiagnosed COVID-19 cases may have been outdated, and there was potential for symptom overlap with health issues linked to PM2.5.

Conversely, this study has strengths, including using data from a cohort established before the pandemic. The researchers also employed statistical methods to account for response bias and missing data.

The results remain inconclusive regarding whether PM2.5 exposure from the Hazelwood coalmine fire increased long-term vulnerability to COVID-19. As climate change raises the likelihood of extreme pollution events, evaluating the long-term effects of such Exposures will be crucial. For now, treating long-term vulnerability to COVID-19 as a possible consequence of significant pollution could support efforts to limit PM2.5 exposure.

Original Source

Title: Long-term effects of extreme smoke exposure on COVID-19: A cohort study

Abstract: In early 2014, the Hazelwood coalmine fire covered the regional Australian town of Morwell in smoke and ash for 45 days. One of the fires by-products, PM2.5, has been linked higher rates of COVID-19 infection to increased expression of the ACE2 receptor, which the COVID-19 virus uses to infect cells throughout the body. However, it is unclear whether the effect persists for years after exposure. In this study, we surveyed a cohort established prior to the pandemic to determine whether PM2.5 from the coalmine fire increased long-term vulnerability to COVID-19 infection and severe disease. In late 2022, 612 members of the Hazelwood Health Studys adult cohort, established in 2016/17, participated in a follow-up survey including standardised items to capture COVID-19 infections, hospitalisations, and vaccinations. Associations were evaluated in crude and adjusted logistic regression models, applying statistical weighting for survey response and multiple imputation to account for missing data, with sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of results. A total of 271 (44%) participants self-reported or met symptom criteria for at least one COVID-19 infection. All models found a positive association, with odds of infection increasing by between 4-21% for every standard deviation (12.3{micro}g/m3) increase in mine fire-related PM2.5 exposure. However, this was not statistically significant in any model. There were insufficient hospitalisations to examine severity (n=7; 1%). The findings were inconclusive in ruling out an effect of PM2.5 exposure from coalmine fire on long-term vulnerability to COVID-19 infection. Given the positive association that was robust to modelling variations as well as evidence for a causal mechanism, it would be prudent to treat PM2.5 from fire events as a risk factor for long-term COVID-19 vulnerability until more evidence accumulates.

Authors: Tyler J Lane, M. Carroll, B. M. Borg, T. A. McCaffrey, C. L. Smith, C. Gao, D. Brown, D. Poland, S. Allgood, J. Ikin, M. J. Abramson

Last Update: 2023-04-18 00:00:00

Language: English

Source URL: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.04.12.23288500

Source PDF: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.04.12.23288500.full.pdf

Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Changes: This summary was created with assistance from AI and may have inaccuracies. For accurate information, please refer to the original source documents linked here.

Thank you to medrxiv for use of its open access interoperability.

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