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COVID-19's Impact on Vulnerable Populations

Analyzing COVID-19 risk factors among different demographic groups in California.

― 7 min read


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COVID-19, caused by the virus SARS-COV-2, has profoundly affected lives across the globe since it emerged in late 2019. Some groups of people are at a higher risk of severe illness and death than others. Identifying who is more vulnerable is essential for protecting these populations during the pandemic.

Who is at Risk?

The risks associated with COVID-19 are especially significant for people with lower incomes and those who cannot easily access healthcare. Many individuals in these groups also experience higher rates of chronic health problems like diabetes, obesity, and heart conditions, which can worsen their situation. Furthermore, essential workers, such as those in healthcare or food services, face a greater risk because they often work in environments where they are likely to come into contact with the virus.

Study Focus

This study looks at how different demographic features in California relate to the number of COVID-19 Cases and deaths as of July 5, 2021. By examining patterns between demographic information and COVID-19 statistics, we can better understand what factors contribute to risk.

We used a statistical method called Pearson correlation to identify key features linked to COVID-19 cases and deaths. The study focused on the five and twenty most highly correlated features to create regression models. These models help us see which features significantly impact COVID-19 cases and deaths.

Key Features

The top five features linked to COVID-19 cases included:

  1. Overcrowding in households (% of households)
  2. Average household size
  3. Hispanic ethnicity (% of population)
  4. Ages 0-19 (% of population)
  5. Education levels below high school completion (% of population older than 25)

For deaths, the key features were similar, except that overcrowding replaced long-term diabetes complications.

Method to Gather Data

To gather data, we used public health databases to collect information about COVID-19 cases and deaths by county in California. Most demographic data came from the U.S. Census, specifically the American Community Survey (ACS) from 2019. Using 2019 data provides a clearer picture of the communities before the pandemic hit in full force.

Housing Conditions and Health Risks

Inadequate housing conditions contribute to health problems during the pandemic. Overcrowded living situations have a direct link to poor health outcomes, including higher rates of respiratory illnesses. When people live in close quarters, the virus can spread more easily, leading to increased cases and deaths.

How Education Affects Health

Education also plays a significant role in health outcomes. Lower levels of education can limit job opportunities and contribute to lower health literacy, making it difficult for individuals to effectively manage their health. This lack of understanding can lead to worse health outcomes, particularly when dealing with information about the COVID-19 vaccine and its safety.

The Impact of Race and Ethnicity

Racial inequalities have been highlighted during the pandemic. Communities with a high percentage of Hispanic and Black individuals have seen a disproportionately high number of cases and deaths. Data shows that people of Hispanic and Latinx descent represent a larger share of COVID-19 cases than their overall population in the U.S.

Employment and Essential Work

Many essential workers cannot work from home, increasing their risk of exposure to the virus. Around 40% of the workforce in the U.S. holds essential jobs in sectors like healthcare, food services, and manufacturing. These jobs often involve close contact with others, creating a higher chance of contracting COVID-19.

Overview of California's COVID-19 Data

As of July 1, 2021, worldwide COVID-19 cases exceeded 181 million, with nearly 4 million deaths. In the U.S., over 33 million cases and 600 thousand deaths were recorded. Communities with lower socioeconomic status have faced heightened risks due to limited access to healthcare, leading to more severe COVID-19 outcomes.

Health Insurance and Access to Care

Access to healthcare in America often depends on insurance status. For instance, many Californians under the age of 65 lack health insurance, with a higher percentage of those living below the poverty line being uninsured. People without insurance often struggle to receive healthcare and preventive services, which can worsen health outcomes, especially for those more vulnerable to severe COVID-19 illness.

Housing and Its Effects on Health

Housing conditions directly affect health outcomes. Studies find a strong link between overcrowded housing and poor health. Those living in crowded environments face increased health risks, including higher incidences of COVID-19.

Importance of Understanding Demographics

Understanding which demographic features matter most can help target interventions to protect those at risk. The study aims to look specifically at California's demographics to determine the most pressing factors associated with COVID-19 cases and deaths.

Collecting and Analyzing Data

To analyze data, we gathered COVID-19 statistics at the county level and merged them with demographic information. We calculated cumulative cases and deaths per 100,000 people for each county. Counties with smaller populations were removed to ensure accuracy in the analysis.

Observations from the Data

The analysis revealed that certain groups, like young people, are linked to higher cumulative cases, whereas older populations correlate with lower cases. Higher education levels generally relate to fewer COVID-19 cases and deaths, while those lacking health insurance or with disabilities are linked to more severe outcomes.

Job Types and COVID-19 Risks

Certain industries are more closely connected to COVID-19 outcomes. Jobs in agriculture, transportation, and wholesale trade showed a strong positive correlation with cases and deaths. Conversely, jobs in finance, insurance, and professional services had a negative correlation, likely because many of these roles could transition to remote work.

Travel and Commute Methods

How people travel to work also impacts COVID-19 exposure risk. Commuting by car, especially carpooling, connects to higher case numbers, while working from home correlates with lower case rates. This emphasizes the need for robust public health campaigns.

Language and Communication

Language abilities and communication play a role in health outcomes. Limited English proficiency correlates with lower health literacy and can impede effective communication about the virus and vaccination efforts.

Political Factors

Political affiliation did not show a strong link to COVID-19 cases or deaths, though there was a slight correlation between registered party members and case numbers.

The Importance of Overcrowding

Overcrowding and average family size exhibited one of the strongest correlations with COVID-19 cases and deaths. These factors contribute significantly to how the virus spreads in communities.

Residences and Movement Patterns

Data showed how long people stayed in the same residence affects COVID-19 outcomes. Those who lived in the same place for a year correlated positively with cases, whereas those who moved recently had lower case rates.

Creating Models to Study COVID-19

We created statistical models to analyze the strength of relationships between various demographic features and COVID-19 outcomes. These models help to quantify how each feature impacts infection and mortality rates.

Evaluating Model Effectiveness

After creating models, we evaluated their significance and reliability. Most followed the assumptions needed for accurate linear regression analysis. However, some models showed signs of multicollinearity, indicating that certain features overlap significantly.

Key Takeaways from the Analysis

The analysis underscores a connection between COVID-19 and factors like poverty, access to healthcare, and essential work demands. Living conditions, education levels, and insurance status are critical in determining risk levels in communities.

Recommendations for Public Health Efforts

To effectively combat COVID-19, targeted strategies must focus on the most disadvantaged populations. This includes promoting vaccine access and providing clear communication regarding vaccine safety and the importance of receiving it.

Addressing Housing Issues

Support for people living in crowded conditions is crucial. For example, options like isolating COVID-19 patients in hotels could alleviate burdens on overcrowded households.

Further Research Needs

This study highlights the need for ongoing research to isolate the effects of individual factors on COVID-19 outcomes. As the pandemic evolves, understanding how different features impact health is vital for formulating effective public health responses.

Conclusion

COVID-19 has exposed deep-rooted inequalities in health and access to care across communities. By focusing on demographic factors and their connections to COVID-19 outcomes, we can better prepare for and address health risks in the future. Understanding the interplay of socioeconomic status, education, housing, and healthcare access remains essential to managing public health effectively.

Original Source

Title: Investigating Causal links from Observed Features in the first COVID-19 Waves in California

Abstract: Determining who is at risk from a disease is important in order to protect vulnerable subpopulations during an outbreak. We are currently in a SARS-COV-2 (commonly referred to as COVID-19) pandemic which has had a massive impact across the world, with some communities and individuals seen to have a higher risk of severe outcomes and death from the disease compared to others. These risks are compounded for people of lower socioeconomic status, those who have limited access to health care, higher rates of chronic diseases, such as hypertension, diabetes (type-2), obesity, likely due to the chronic stress of these types of living conditions. Essential workers are also at a higher risk of COVID-19 due to having higher rates of exposure due to the nature of their work. In this study we determine the important features of the pandemic in California in terms of cumulative cases and deaths per 100,000 of population up to the date of 5 July, 2021 (the date of analysis) using Pearson correlation coefficients between population demographic features and cumulative cases and deaths. The most highly correlated features, based on the absolute value of their Pearson Correlation Coefficients in relation to cases or deaths per 100,000, were used to create regression models in two ways: using the top 5 features and using the top 20 features filtered out to limit interactions between features. These models were used to determine a) the most significant features out of these subsets and b) features that approximate different potential forces on COVID-19 cases and deaths (especially in the case of the latter set). Additionally, co-correlations, defined as demographic features not within a given input feature set for the regression models but which are strongly correlated with the features included within, were calculated for all features.

Authors: Sarah Good, Anthony O'Hare

Last Update: 2023-03-25 00:00:00

Language: English

Source URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.14485

Source PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.14485

Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Changes: This summary was created with assistance from AI and may have inaccuracies. For accurate information, please refer to the original source documents linked here.

Thank you to arxiv for use of its open access interoperability.

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