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# Mathematics # Analysis of PDEs

The Dynamics of Rabbit Populations through Perturbations

Analyzing how small changes affect rabbit populations using the Fisher-KPP equation.

David John Needham, John Billingham

― 6 min read


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In the world of mathematics, we often try to describe how things move and change. One way we do this is through mathematical equations, which can tell us how things spread out or come together. This can be really useful for studying things like populations of animals, the spread of diseases, or even how chemicals mix together.

One specific equation we look at is called the Fisher-KPP Equation. It's a fancy name for a model that helps us understand how things grow or spread over time. In our study, we're using a specific version of this equation that includes a "top hat" curve, which is just a shape that looks a bit like, you guessed it, a top hat – flat on the top and straight down the sides.

Now, if we start adding little changes, or "Perturbations," to this top hat shape, we can learn a lot about how these changes affect the way things spread. It's kind of like adding sugar to your tea – just a little bit can change the flavor quite a lot!

What is the Fisher-KPP Equation?

First, let's talk about what this Fisher-KPP equation is. Imagine you have a bunch of rabbits in a field. They reproduce, and their population grows. But they can only spread out so far in a given time. The Fisher-KPP equation helps us predict how many rabbits there will be in the future and how far they will spread in that field.

In this model, we can set up some rules – like how quickly rabbits reproduce and how fast they can move. This is where things get interesting. If we start changing one of these rules, we can see how it affects the whole system.

Adding Some Flavor

Now, back to our top hat kernel. Think of it as a special recipe that shapes the way our rabbits spread. The top hat shape gives them a certain way to move. But what happens if we tweak the recipe just a little? What if we make the top flat part a bit wider or narrower, or if we add some bumps to the sides?

By doing this, we can see how robust or sensitive our rabbit population is to these small changes. Sometimes, even a tiny tweak can lead to big changes down the road. It's like when you stir your tea with a spoon – just a little stir can affect how the sugar dissolves.

The Experiment

We start by looking at the original equation with the top hat shape. Imagine we have a nice, neat equation that describes how rabbits spread perfectly. Now, we introduce our changes. We can call these changes perturbations – they are just small variations from the original shape.

We focus on two specific types of changes. One is where we adjust the shape to be a bit positive, and the other is where it becomes negative. Each of these tweaks can lead to different results in how the rabbits spread out.

The Positive Perturbation

Let’s start with the positive changes. When we make the top hat just a little bit wider or add slight bumps on the top, we see that the overall behavior of our rabbit population remains mostly the same. They still spread out in a controlled manner. They just might have a little more fun hopping around.

As we narrow down our focus on this positive perturbation, we can show that the rabbits will still reach two main states: unreacted (just sitting there, perfectly fine) and fully reacted (all spread out and having a party). This tells us that even with some changes, the rabbits are still able to find equilibrium.

The Negative Perturbation

Now for the negative tweaks. When we start adding negative changes, it’s like taking away some space from our top hat. Maybe we squashed it a little or added some holes.

What we notice here is that the system behaves differently. It’s like rabbits that are feeling a bit cramped and start to react differently. They may still be able to spread, but there’s a catch – their movement becomes a lot more complicated. They begin to show signs of struggling and might even start splitting into different groups. This is where it gets interesting!

It turns out that with negative changes, we can create secondary structures. Here, the system shows complex behavior, and it starts to develop patterns that we didn’t see before. It’s like a group of rabbits deciding to form a little rabbit council when they feel crowded – they start organizing!

Stability Analysis

After tweaking our top hat and watching how the rabbits behave under both types of changes, we need to understand how stable these states are.

When we talk about stability, we mean how likely it is for the rabbits to return to their original state if we bump them a little. For our positive perturbation, we find that everything is still quite stable. The rabbits are still able to get along, and even with the extra room to roam, they stick to the equilibrium states.

But for negative perturbations, the situation is different. The rabbits can still hop around, but they’re now at risk of breaking apart into different groups. Stability becomes a much bigger question. The pattern changes and organizing into groups might lead to chaos, depending on how small or large our perturbations are.

Bifurcations

As we dig deeper, we encounter something called bifurcations.

Imagine you’re driving your car on a road, and suddenly you reach a fork. You have to decide whether to go left or right. In our rabbit scenario, a bifurcation is like that fork in the road. Depending on which path you take, you can end up with very different results.

With positive perturbations, the behavior remains predictable. But with negative perturbations, the rabbits can end up choosing paths that lead to completely different outcomes.

As they reach the bifurcation points, the rabbits can either stick together, forming a periodic state, or break apart into different groups.

Summary of Findings

  1. Positive Perturbations: Even with small changes, the system behaves nicely, and rabbits remain at equilibrium.
  2. Negative Perturbations: Things get a bit wild. The system introduces complex patterns and behavior that can lead to secondary structures forming.
  3. Stability: The state of the system depends on the type of perturbations. Some keep the rabbits settled, while others lead to possible chaos.

Final Thoughts

So, there you have it! By changing a little something in a mathematical model, we can observe some pretty interesting behavior. It’s like learning how to bake cookies-just a pinch of salt or a little extra sugar can change everything.

Next time you see rabbits hopping around in a field, just remember that, like our mathematical models, there's probably a lot more going on beneath the surface! Treating these mathematical models helps us understand complex systems in the real world, from ecology to social dynamics to even our own lives. So, the next time you stir your tea, just think-what might happen if I added a twist? Happy hopping!

Original Source

Title: The 1D nonlocal Fisher-KPP equation with a top hat kernel. Part 3. The effect of perturbations in the kernel

Abstract: In the third part of this series of papers, we address the same Cauchy problem that was considered in part 1, namely the nonlocal Fisher-KPP equation in one spatial dimension, $u_t = D u_{xx} + u(1-\phi_T*u)$, where $\phi_T*u$ is a spatial convolution with the top hat kernel, $\phi_T(y) \equiv H\left(\frac{1}{4}-y^2\right)$, except that now we include a specified perturbation to this kernel, which we denote as $\overline{\phi}:\mathbb{R}\to \mathbb{R}$. Thus the top hat kernel $\phi_T$ is now replaced by the perturbed kernel $\phi:\mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}$, where $\phi(x) = \phi_T(x) + \overline{\phi}(x)~~\forall~~x\in \mathbb{R}$. When the magnitude of the kernel perturbation is small in a suitable norm, the situation is shown to be generally a regular perturbation problem when the diffusivity $D$ is formally of O(1) or larger. However when $D$ becomes small, and in particular, of the same order as the magnitude of the perturbation to the kernel, this becomes a strongly singular perturbation problem, with considerable changes in overall structure. This situation is uncovered in detail In terms of its generic interest, the model forms a natural extension to the classical Fisher-KPP model, with the introduction of the simplest possible nonlocal effect into the saturation term. Nonlocal reaction-diffusion models arise naturally in a variety of (frequently biological or ecological) contexts, and as such it is of fundamental interest to examine its properties in detail, and to compare and contrast these with the well known properties of the classical Fisher-KPP model.

Authors: David John Needham, John Billingham

Last Update: 2024-11-22 00:00:00

Language: English

Source URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.15054

Source PDF: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.15054

Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Changes: This summary was created with assistance from AI and may have inaccuracies. For accurate information, please refer to the original source documents linked here.

Thank you to arxiv for use of its open access interoperability.

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