The Fight Against COVID-19: XBB.1.5 Vaccine Insights
New XBB.1.5 vaccine shows promise but effectiveness wanes over time.
Nelson Lee, Lena Nguyen, Sharifa Nasreen, Peter C. Austin, Kevin A. Brown, Sarah A Buchan, Ramandip Grewal, Kevin L Schwartz, Mina Tadrous, Kumanan Wilson, Sarah E Wilson, Jeffrey C Kwong
― 6 min read
Table of Contents
In early 2022, a new version of the virus that causes COVID-19, known as Omicron, took center stage globally. This variant quickly became the leading strain, much like a new fashion trend that everyone just had to adopt. However, Omicron didn’t stop there. It continued to change and create new versions of itself that were better at avoiding the immunity our bodies had built from vaccination and previous infections.
The fight against severe illness from Omicron led to the development of new Vaccines. While earlier vaccines struggled against the more sneaky versions of Omicron, new bivalent vaccines that included Omicron components offered some extra protection. But would it be enough?
Enter XBB.1.5 Vaccine
In the fall of 2023, Ontario, Canada introduced a fresh line of defense: the XBB.1.5 vaccine. This vaccine was designed to target the version of Omicron that was making waves at that time. The aim was to protect vulnerable groups, such as those over 65 years old and people with weakened immune systems.
But wait, there’s more! In the spring of 2024, those at higher risk were told they could get another dose to give themselves even more protection. This was on the heels of reports that the booster shots from the earlier vaccines were not working as well against the latest Omicron versions.
Gathering the Troops for a Study
To find out how effective the new XBB.1.5 vaccine really was, researchers decided to study its Effectiveness against severe outcomes like hospitalization or death. They looked at a pool of adults aged 50 and older who had been tested for COVID-19 from September 2023 to June 2024.
The researchers were not just counting numbers; they were selecting carefully who to study. Those who had only received one dose of any vaccine were out of the running, along with people who had used non-approved vaccines or those who had tested positive for the virus recently.
They tapped into a treasure trove of linked health data to find the answers they sought. These records contained information about COVID-19 tests, vaccination, and even demographics of the population, which helped paint a clearer picture of the effects of the new vaccine.
The Great Comparison
In the study, the researchers categorized people into two groups: those who suffered severe outcomes from COVID-19 and those who tested negative for it. The cases were identified based on Hospitalizations or deaths confirmed by tests, while the control group consisted of symptomatic individuals who tested negative.
The researchers divided the timeline into different periods based on which variant of the virus was circulating. Between September 2023 and December 2023, the XBB sublineage was predominant, and from December 2023 to June 2024, the new JN/KP versions took over.
Breaking Down Vaccine Effectiveness
To measure how well the XBB.1.5 vaccine worked, the researchers compared those who received it to those who had been vaccinated with earlier vaccines at least six months ago. They wanted to see how much the new vaccine reduced the chance of a severe outcome.
Results showed that during the XBB period, the XBB.1.5 vaccine was 64% effective at preventing severe outcomes. That’s better than winning a game of bingo on the first call! But as they moved into the JN/KP period, effectiveness dropped to 57% and continued to slide.
When looking at individuals aged 65 and older, the effectiveness was even higher at first, around 68%. However, for those in the 50–64 age range, it was only 56%.
The researchers also noticed something interesting: the last vaccine received by the control group seemed to affect the results. If people last received an older vaccine a long time ago, the new XBB.1.5 vaccine performed better against severe outcomes.
The Numbers Tell a Story
During the first few months after getting the XBB.1.5 vaccine, there was a clear advantage. By comparing vaccinated people who received it recently with those who had older, non-XBB vaccines, they found an effectiveness of 64% to 73%. That is a solid score, but what comes next is a bit less rosy.
As time went on, the effectiveness of the XBB.1.5 vaccine took a nosedive, dropping to around 21% after six to nine months. It’s like getting excited about a delicious cake, only to find out it’s gone stale.
The Shot Clock: Timing Matters
What’s the takeaway? Timing and type of vaccines can impact the effectiveness of the XBB.1.5 shot. If your last shot was the older version, then you might benefit more from getting the newest vaccine. However, this highlights the fact that continuous updates and improvements are necessary as the virus evolves and changes its style, much like fashion trends.
The Need for Change
The need for more durable vaccines is evident. With variants popping up like popcorn, it’s crucial to keep updating the vaccines to keep everyone protected. The results of the study paint a picture of a constant battle that requires vigilance and flexibility.
Limitations and Real-World Implications
Despite the promising results, the researchers did acknowledge some limits to their study. Access to testing was restricted at times, and data were missing for rapid antigen tests and detailed information on how the virus itself had changed. This makes it tricky to identify if the waning protection was due to the vaccine, the virus changing, or both.
The need for ongoing monitoring is clear, especially as public immunity to COVID-19 changes with time. Everyone’s favorite virus has shown it's not going away quietly.
Conclusion: Staying Ahead in the Vaccine Game
In conclusion, the new XBB.1.5 vaccine initially provided good protection against severe outcomes from COVID-19 but lost effectiveness relatively quickly. As the virus evolves and more variants emerge, it emphasizes the importance of keeping vaccinations up to date.
With knowledge comes power, and in this case, the knowledge of how vaccines work gives us a stronger front in the fight against COVID-19. As we continue to adapt, we may find ourselves needing to roll up our sleeves more often than we’d like, but it’s all in the name of health and safety.
So, keep your spirits high and your vaccination status even higher. The race against the ever-evolving COVID-19 is on, and we all want to finish strong!
Title: Limited durability of protection conferred by XBB.1.5 vaccines against Omicron-associated severe outcomes among community-dwelling adults aged >=50 years, Ontario, Canada, September 2023 to June 2024
Abstract: We estimated XBB.1.5 vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization/death among adults aged [≥]50 years. Compared with non-XBB.1.5 vaccinees, the initial protection of 64% (95%CI, 57%-69%) was reduced when JN/KP-sublineages became predominant, and quickly declined. No significant protection was observed >6 months post-vaccination. Short durability of protection poses unique challenges for COVID-19 vaccination.
Authors: Nelson Lee, Lena Nguyen, Sharifa Nasreen, Peter C. Austin, Kevin A. Brown, Sarah A Buchan, Ramandip Grewal, Kevin L Schwartz, Mina Tadrous, Kumanan Wilson, Sarah E Wilson, Jeffrey C Kwong
Last Update: 2024-12-16 00:00:00
Language: English
Source URL: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.12.14.24318807
Source PDF: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.12.14.24318807.full.pdf
Licence: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Changes: This summary was created with assistance from AI and may have inaccuracies. For accurate information, please refer to the original source documents linked here.
Thank you to medrxiv for use of its open access interoperability.